Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.898313 1.106861 1.331135 1.588029 1.872034 2.174476 2.519002
2024-10-13 0.617953 0.893758 1.215845 1.610208 2.071350 2.585872 3.196034
2024-10-20 0.446801 0.740752 1.107545 1.579147 2.152115 2.810852 3.611486
2024-10-27 0.387942 0.714542 1.142427 1.711367 2.420080 3.250362 4.274723
2024-11-03 0.338654 0.688669 1.167888 1.823697 2.657648 3.649530 4.887770
2024-11-10 0.298473 0.667486 1.193733 1.932419 2.888454 4.039981 5.491484
2024-11-17 0.265473 0.650452 1.220607 2.039165 3.114810 4.424316 6.088329
2024-11-24 0.221003 0.606383 1.203417 2.082867 3.258173 4.705733 6.561173
2024-12-01 0.175162 0.550236 1.161908 2.088344 3.348574 4.919419 6.950671
2024-12-08 0.124429 0.471801 1.077622 2.027151 3.346274 5.013556 7.191315
2024-12-15 0.084966 0.402736 0.999254 1.967488 3.340743 5.099785 7.419356
2024-12-22 0.058376 0.351627 0.943392 1.935166 3.367755 5.224089 7.691847
2024-12-29 0.041913 0.321442 0.924258 1.962788 3.485957 5.478381 8.144439
2025-01-05 0.026754 0.285325 0.890113 1.965402 3.569352 5.689116 8.545610
2025-01-12 0.014221 0.244548 0.840259 1.938296 3.607032 5.837107 8.864974
2025-01-19 0.013649 0.257015 0.897273 2.084307 3.893622 6.315769 9.608262
2025-01-26 0.012176 0.263743 0.942425 2.211348 4.153697 6.760419 10.309725
2025-02-02 0.010595 0.268689 0.983801 2.332603 4.406258 7.196311 11.001725
2025-02-09 0.009114 0.273008 1.023763 2.451870 4.656682 7.630456 11.693055
2025-02-16 0.005666 0.258480 1.021683 2.500512 4.804273 7.927698 12.209478
2025-02-23 0.002438 0.234387 0.995390 2.506630 4.888638 8.139848 12.616507
2025-03-02 0.000239 0.195212 0.928004 2.438437 4.860573 8.198764 12.824371
2025-03-09 NaN 0.160793 0.864354 2.371873 4.831514 8.253928 13.025574